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In this Aug 2005 issue of On Target :
Life Cycle Costing : The lesson of Ansett
Airlines
Why did Ansett Airlines fail in 2001, with huge losses and a
shortage of cash, when it had made a good profit in the previous
year? Was bad management at the time of failure or bad decisions
taken in the past when the company was seemingly profitable? The
reason was the latter, as Ansett had over the years purchased a
number of different brands and varieties of aircraft (Boeing,
McDonald Douglas, Lockheed, Airbus, etc.); each brand having the
lowest initial acquisition price at time of purchase. However,
this resulted in the airline having the greatest variety in
their stable of aircraft, thus requiring different spare parts,
hangers, and trained technicians etc., i.e. unsustainable
running (operating) costs in the long run.
In the past, comparisons of asset alternatives, whether at
the concept or detailed design level, have been based mainly on
initial capital costs. However, due to the lessons learnt from
companies like Ansett, there has been growing pressure to
achieve better outcomes from assets, ongoing operating and
maintenance costs must be considered as they consume most
resources over the asset’s service life.
Life Cycle Costing is a process to determine the sum of all
the costs associated with an asset or part thereof, including
acquisition, installation, operation, maintenance, refurbishment
and disposal costs. It is therefore pivotal to the asset
management process.
Life Cycle Costing incorporates both Life Cost Planning which
occurs during development or manufacture and implementation of
that plan by Life Cost Analysis as the asset is used or
occupied.
Doing a life-cycle cost analysis (LCC) gives the total cost of
your asset- including all expenses incurred over the life of the
asset. There are two reasons to do an LCC analysis: 1) to
compare different asset options and 2) to determine the most
cost-effective asset designs. A meaningful LCC comparison can
only be made if each asset alternative can perform the same work
with the same level of reliability.
The term "Life-Cycle Costing" is quite broad and
encompasses all those techniques that take into account both
initial costs and future costs and benefits (savings) of an
investment over some period of time. They differ, however, in
their applications which depend on various purposes of
investment projects. For example, in the case of real estate
assets, for new buildings the LCC technique is used to evaluate
(or rank) the options concerning design, sites, and materials on
the basis of total life-cycle costs. Its application to existing
buildings involves: 1. comparison of total life-cycle costs and
savings of rehabilitating the existing building vis-à-vis
redeveloping it, i.e., tearing it down and rebuilding it; 2.
determining how much of any given retrofitting measure or a
combination of various retrofitting measures should be used in
order to achieve maximum savings, given certain constraints of
budget, level of amenity, etc.; and 3. determining which method
of retrofitting or rehabilitating a building be used to achieve
maximum savings from a given level of investment costs.
The life-cycle cost of a project or asset can be calculated
using the formula :
LCC = C + Mpv + E pv + R pv - S pv
where the pv subscript indicates the present value of each
factor.
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The capital cost (C) of a project includes the initial
capital expense for equipment, the asset design, engineering,
and installation. This cost is always considered as a single
payment occurring in the initial year of the project, regardless
of how the project is financed.
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Maintenance (M) is the sum of all yearly scheduled operation
and maintenance (O&M) costs. Fuel or equipment replacement
costs are not included. O&M costs include such items as an
operator's salary, inspections, insurance, property tax, and all
scheduled maintenance.
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The energy cost (E) of an asset is the sum of the yearly fuel
cost. Energy cost is calculated separately from operation and
maintenance costs, so that differential fuel inflation rates may
be used.
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Replacement cost (R) is the sum of all repair and equipment
replacement cost anticipated over the life of the asset. The
replacement of a battery is a good example of such a cost that
may occur once or twice during the life of a motor vehicle
asset. Normally, these costs occur in specific years and the
entire cost is included in those years.
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The salvage value (S) of an asset is its net worth in the
final year of the life-cycle period. It is common practice to
assign a salvage value of 20 percent of original cost for
mechanical equipment that can be moved. This rate can be
modified depending on other factors such as obsolescence and
condition of equipment.
As life-cycle costs are spread over many years they must be
converted to a common value (present or annual value) in order
to make them comparable over a period of time. Assumptions must
therefore be specified regarding the cost of capital rate,
economic life of building components, inflation rate, future
energy, and non-energy cost escalation rates.
Before finally selecting an investment project, it is
sometimes desirable to test its economic feasibility based on
alternative values of key parameters uncertain in the future,
e.g., life of the building, energy price escalation rate, and
discount rate. It is also important to know the value or range
of values of parameters that affect the LCC analysis. This can
be done by recomputing the LCC measure for minimum and maximum
values of the parameters in question, using a technique called
"sensitivity analysis." This informs the
decision-maker of the consequences associated with uncertainties
in the data.
In brief, an LCC analysis requires the following
steps :
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Specify the objectives and constraints of the analysis.
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Identify options to achieve the objectives.
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Specify various assumptions regarding discount rate,
inflation rate, economic life, etc.
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Identify and estimate relevant costs.
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Convert all costs into constant dollars and to a common base.
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Compare the total life-cycle costs for each option and select
the one with the minimum total costs.
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Analyse the results for sensitivity to the initial
assumptions.
Summary
LCC is a valuable method of tracing the cost consequences of
various alternative investment projects with long life spans. It
is now used in both the public and private sectors as a tool to
select the best investment option for new asset acquisitions and
to determine the feasibility of alternative assets. However,
because the application of LCC requires prior specification of
several parameters and a considerable amount of prediction about
them, the limitations of the method must be clearly understood.
Efforts should be made to improve its value by developing a data
bank on the various components of the total life-cycle costs.
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